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Where There's Will, There's a Way

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dangerlinto View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote dangerlinto Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: Where There's Will, There's a Way
    Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 9:54am
The thread is for discussion of the article Where There's Will, There's a Way
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Calavera View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Calavera Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 11:08am
This article makes it sooo much harder for me to figure out what to do with the 500 tix I got for selling off all my extended cards...
 
I've been debating LED, Mox Diamond, Null rods, Dredge or maybe even oaths... i'd hate to dump my $ into LEDs and see them restricted 7 days later (assuming I get them before I collect my Will on the 13th and they get restricted on the 20th)
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Post Options Post Options   Quote SICKSICKSICK Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 11:14am
I like how my deck has 1 Scrubland and 0 white cards, and 1 red card and 0 red lands. Embarrassed
slide into the water/ b'come one with the sea/ life seems so much smaller/ swim to the moon
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Post Options Post Options   Quote PhilipJFry Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 11:18am
Danger, thanks for the article. I think Yawg Will makes a point where Classic really gets separated from the rest of the formats, where ported extended/Legacy decks don't get to claim top spots. It gets it a step closer to Vintage, as seen with those decklists - and this is a good thing.

Is there any way to know ahead of time how many Yawg Wills are going to enter the system mid Feb? Here's to hoping they aren't priced through the roof.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote tempesteye Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 11:28am
Well, the good thing is that considering the relatively small pool of Classic players, and the fact you'll only need 1, there should be plenty of Will's initially.

And we're getting Urza's which will dump a bunch into circulation too.
Odissey was themed with with threshold and Mudhole gave red access to an hability that fitted thematically and normally isn't on it's pie, that's why it's rare.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote dangerlinto Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 11:33am
Originally posted by Calavera

This article makes it sooo much harder for me to figure out what to do with the 500 tix I got for selling off all my extended cards...
 
I've been debating LED, Mox Diamond, Null rods, Dredge or maybe even oaths... i'd hate to dump my $ into LEDs and see them restricted 7 days later (assuming I get them before I collect my Will on the 13th and they get restricted on the 20th)


LED is not banned in Legacy.  Seems to me the choice is obvious. Wait until the 20th.

Originally posted by SICKSICKSICK

I like how my deck has 1 Scrubland and 0 white cards, and 1 red card and 0 red lands. Embarrassed


I thought about fixing Scrubland to Badland and thought "nah, no one will notice".  Wink

The actual adjustment I made was -1 Cabal Therapy, +1 YawgWin, which I thought might be the appropriate spot to fill, but it could easily be a half dozen other cards to make room for 1x Will.


Edited by dangerlinto - 02 Feb 2010 at 11:38am
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Post Options Post Options   Quote menace13 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 11:37am
I would get the Oath Cal. Reason being, LED will eventually get restricted, Mox D is meh, Null Rods become better with MED4.
You would get a year out of playing Oath with no worries of it being restricted or fading out of the meta and Oath into Progen or iona is just hella fun!
 
Y Will completes all the Black cards needed for Vintage, Black happens to be the 2nd most restricted color next to Blue and artifacts-rest of missing Vintage-.
Will Will have an impact on the price of Underground Sea-highest played dual in Vint-?
 
Gifts should see more play once Will is out, having Yawg in hand and casting Gifts if needed(by only selecting 2 cards) can act as a double entomb effect to guarantee you bin the 2 cards you want.
 
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Calavera Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 11:50am
Originally posted by PhilipJFry


Is there any way to know ahead of time how many Yawg Wills are going to enter the system mid Feb? Here's to hoping they aren't priced through the roof.
 
QPs will be announced this Thursday. Everyone who has 15 QP will get a will.
for the range from 10-14 QP approximately 1/16 maximum will be able to get into the MOCS via LCQs. probably much less.
 
32 of those people will get a Foil Will.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Darter101 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 11:57am
I don't imagine will being that much ... after the initial dust settles, the amount of people (us) Who would want a will should be less that the amount who have then.. Then Saga will just create more.
I'm still trying to convince my fiance' that a set of force of wills on here is easily woth 200 bucks that we could otherwise save towards our wedding.....its only about one guest to un-invite anyway, I can think of a ton of her family who could be un-invited.....Just saying...
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Post Options Post Options   Quote SICKSICKSICK Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 11:59am
@menace: Still missing Yawgmoth's Bargain from the restricted black cards. And I doubt Will alone can move the price of U Sea.
 
@danger: Do you have a proposed decklist with YW and 4x Mystical Tutor?
slide into the water/ b'come one with the sea/ life seems so much smaller/ swim to the moon
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Post Options Post Options   Quote dangerlinto Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 12:08pm
Originally posted by PhilipJFry

Is there any way to know ahead of time how many Yawg Wills are going to enter the system mid Feb? Here's to hoping they aren't priced through the roof.


Well as of Jan 27, there were 271 people already qualified for Season 1 (15 points) and 545 total with 10 or more points going down the stretch.  It's probably safe to say at least half of the people who have 10-14 points will make it, which brings the theoretical total to 408, and then there is the last chance qualifiers.  So lets' shortchange some folk and say it's 450, though it would easily be as many as 600.

To get an idea of how many 450 Yawgmoth's Will is, in order for EEE drafts to have pumped out that many Oath of Druids (another card only good in Vintage) over it's 2 week release period, it would have had to fire 825 drafts, or just over 58 drafts a day minus the small number of Foil Oaths that appeared.  This is almost exactly how many EEE drafts there were, and at the end of that, the price was close to 45

Now, factor in the fact that YawgWin is already restricted, and so the demand is now cut in quarter, so say about 11.  Then add in the demand that YawgWin fits into more than one deck, and I think you are looking at 25.  Then subtract the fact that YawgWin is going to be released in Saga not 6 weeks later, and i think you are looking at a $15 card.  If something like 600 people qualify, you are looking at about a $10 card.

Yup.  I really think that way.

PS - the foil one will be worth insane amounts - there are only 32 to start - I won't bother to guess.


Edited by dangerlinto - 02 Feb 2010 at 12:21pm
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Post Options Post Options   Quote menace13 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 12:17pm

 If you weren't you, I'd almost think you were being cordial.

  1. Bargain is less played than tutors and Will-Tps,Grim and Ritual Tendrils only use it- Will and Co are ubiquitous.
  2. Not much if at all, but does this lead to U Sea being top 5 in Most Played Cards?

 Edit: Great deduction on the price and quantity, I could also see it around 15-20 too-if only for the PR logo-.



Edited by menace13 - 02 Feb 2010 at 12:22pm
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dangerlinto View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote dangerlinto Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 12:31pm
Originally posted by SICKSICKSICK

@danger: Do you have a proposed decklist with YW and 4x Mystical Tutor?


Kind of a loaded question - but what would I do right now?

Take the list that's in the article,

+1 Burning Wish (MD)
-1 Necropotence (MD)

-2 Sadistic Sacrament (SB)
-1 Slaughter Pact (SB)
+2 Mystical Tutor (SB)
+1 Tendrils of Agony (SB)

I have never liked Necro in ANT.  It's there to do something when you can't get Ad Naus runing either becuase it's been extirpated, gaddocked or meddled.  YawgWin settles mot of the problems that Necro tries to solve only you don't have to wait until next turn and leave your hand open to removal, and give the opponent another turn to find an answer

The only reason I wouldn't MD another 2 Mysticals is the deck is pretty tight with Infernals and LED - I'd board them in when facing down a lot of Black discard.  However, if LED gets a restriction, there goes about 6 cards from the deck (Infernal is no longer worth playing) and you'd definitely switch straight to 4x Mystical tutor MD.

Edit: I'd also like to find a way to squeeze SDT in there since for 1 mana it turns all those Mysticals and Vampiric tutor into demonic tutors for the price of One - very handy post-AdN and none too sabby pre-AdN either.





Edited by dangerlinto - 02 Feb 2010 at 12:51pm
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Post Options Post Options   Quote dangerlinto Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 1:20pm
Another interesting fact

There are 18 people already qualified for MOCS season 1 champs who have also played in a Classic tournament this year.  There are 25 if you go down to the 10 points level, so most of those people will not need a Will.

That leaves about 120 of us who have participated in Classic wanting one.  And then add in all the other people wanting one.

One thing is for certain - let's hope these non-classic playing MOCS people won't get lazy and turn to bots.  That sort of thing should happen for cards like this.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Calavera Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 1:48pm
I only had 8 points when the QPs last went out but I got to 19 around 3am Sunday night.
 
I am debating putting together an extended deck and going for top 32 so that I can find one of your foil addicts to pay big bucks for a foil Will :)
 
I currently only foil out my commons... I wonder if I'm going to get the bug?
 
 
Back on topic... Does everyone think we wil have will + 4x LED and mystical for more than 7 days?
 
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Tolarian Academy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 2:06pm
Everyone who wants mine just pm me.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote tempesteye Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 2:43pm
Originally posted by Darter101

I don't imagine will being that much ... after the initial dust settles, the amount of people (us) Who would want a will should be less that the amount who have then.. Then Saga will just create more.
I'm still trying to convince my fiance' that a set of force of wills on here is easily woth 200 bucks that we could otherwise save towards our wedding.....its only about one guest to un-invite anyway, I can think of a ton of her family who could be un-invited.....Just saying...
That kind of logic may get YOU uninvited.

Don't mess with a woman's wedding plans; just agree to cede control to her and you're halfway 100% of the way to a blissful maa-widge.
Odissey was themed with with threshold and Mudhole gave red access to an hability that fitted thematically and normally isn't on it's pie, that's why it's rare.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Darter101 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 2:48pm
I would be curious to see if they dont let led and mystical be 4x with 1x will for a while just to bat around the idea of un banning it in legacy. May as well let us be the guinne pigs. (unban in legacy will never happen) but I could definately see them testing their options with the classic meta....
 
Also @ tempest....I was obv. joking... she's spent her whole life dreaming about wedding...I am currently 6 months into planning it and still barely think about it when not prodded...
Also, I obv. don't have digital force of wills yet either...
 
I am willing to trade an IRL playset for a MODO Playset if anyone knows anyone willing or that wants to make the opposite move... Just saying.


Edited by Darter101 - 02 Feb 2010 at 2:56pm
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Post Options Post Options   Quote dangerlinto Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 3:57pm
Unban Will - in Legacy?
 
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Post Options Post Options   Quote walkerdog Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 6:57pm
So what about one of the 4x Mystical tutor ANT lists already in existense?  Also, what about a Desire build instead of ANT?
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Post Options Post Options   Quote SICKSICKSICK Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 7:13pm
Desire gets to play good cards like Gush and FOW that Nauseam doesn't.

Will might make Desire good enough.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote walkerdog Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 8:14pm

Yes, and Tutor can find all of those to go along with Will.

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Post Options Post Options   Quote menace13 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 8:49pm
This may be slightly off topic, but since we get Urza's in 60 days, is anyone else excited as to what else we get to use and what builds become viable ?
 
Where does everyone see cards like:
 Windfall
 Academy 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Juan007 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Feb 2010 at 11:35pm
I really, really hope that Mystical and LED aren't restricted prematurely. Building an entire deck around resolving Yawgmoth's Will is a strategy that is so easily hated out. How about Island + Extract? Silence / Chant? Meddling Mage? Ravenous Trap? Tormod's? I can go on all day, but there are giant 0 cc and 1 cc speed bumps that every color has access to.

The standard for restricting cards shouldn't be "you can build a good deck with this card as a 4x", it should be "there is no way to stop this strategy with this card as a 4x".

And one more thing - about the "not a god hand" hand in the article, this is nothing new really. Swamp + Ritual + Lotus Petal + Rite of Flame + Ad Naus = gg as well, all are unrestricted and that's five cards.


Edited by Juan007 - 02 Feb 2010 at 11:41pm
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Post Options Post Options   Quote dangerlinto Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Feb 2010 at 5:31am
Originally posted by Juan007

I really, really hope that Mystical and LED aren't restricted prematurely. Building an entire deck around resolving Yawgmoth's Will is a strategy that is so easily hated out. How about Island + Extract? Silence / Chant? Meddling Mage? Ravenous Trap? Tormod's? I can go on all day, but there are giant 0 cc and 1 cc speed bumps that every color has access to.


First - did you even read the article?  It's precisely the point you do not build solely around Will.

 Vintage has access to all those speed bumps as well, and yet the very same cards are restricted for the very same reasons.  Those cards are an even GREATER speed bump in vintage.

Saying "Oh there is a strategy you can board in to beat it" is one of the most terrible analysis of a card or deck's impact on the meta game.  There is a strategy to beat every deck - if there wasn't evryone would play that deck.

Originally posted by Juan007


The standard for restricting cards shouldn't be "you can build a good deck with this card as a 4x", it should be "there is no way to stop this strategy with this card as a 4x".


That is not at all how cards are restricted or banned.  Cards are restricted or banned because they have an unheathy effect on the meta game.   For example, do you think Oath of Druids would be absolutely unstoppable in Legacy?    Or that even though people have access to umpteen million ways to hose the graveyard, destroy enchantments and remove creatures from the game at an instant, that Worldgorger Dragon would be unstoppable?

You miss entirely why cards are B&R.  It's to shape a healthy meta with the expectations that the participants have.  Flash wasn't unstoppable.  Necropotoence wasn't unstopabble. Tinker and Balance aren't unstoppable.  They merely represent the types of cards that you do not want repetitive and or easy access to in the kind of game we'd like to play.


Originally posted by Juan007


And one more thing - about the "not a god hand" hand in the article, this is nothing new really. Swamp + Ritual + Lotus Petal + Rite of Flame + Ad Naus = gg as well, all are unrestricted and that's five cards.


Uh... not if you don't draw into enough mana and/or can't find Tendrils before you hit enough CC that you lose.  Have you played Ad Naus?   Those things happen.  With YawgWin, they don't. 
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